The next match of the Speed Chess Championship quarterfinals is Tuesday as Wesley So ( @gmwso) faces Vidit Gujrathi( @viditchess). The match winner will play the Polish prodigy Jan-Krzysztof Duda in the Speed Chess final four.
So is definitely the favorite to advance in this match, but how big a favorite is he? Find out what our statistical predictions think.
Watch the match live, .
The following viewing options will be available:
- Twitch.tv/chess: the official broadcast with IM Daniel Rensch and GM Robert Hess—watch here to see the Twitch chat.
- Chess.com/TV: watch here to see the Chess.com chat.
The match is the 11th of 15 action-packed events in the main Speed Chess Championship bracket.
- 90 minutes of 5/1 blitz.
- 60 minutes of 3/1 blitz.
- 30 minutes of 1/1 bullet.
- 3-minute breaks between segments.
- If a game begins before the end of the segment timer, that game counts fully and will be played to completion.
- Higher seed starts with White, and colors alternate thereafter.
- Highest cumulative point total wins. If points are tied after the bullet segment, a four-game 1/1 tiebreaker match will be played.
- If the match is still tied after the additional four 1/1 games, a single armageddon game will be played: White 5+0, Black 3+0, Black gets draw odds. The player with the highest Chess.com blitz rating at the start of the Armageddon chooses his color.
- Full match rules are available here.
- Winner: $1,500 and advances to round three of the SCC.
- An additional $1,500 split by win percentage.
- Additional prize funds donated by the Twitch community during the live show will be split evenly between the two players.
Who’s the favorite to win?
The Chess.com SmarterChess predictions call So the 70 percent favorite to win the match and advance to the Speed Chess final four. The model has the American winning both blitz portions, taking a four-game lead into the bullet segment. In the 1+1 segment, the model says that Vidit has the edge, forecasting a one-game margin for the Indian player.
If Vidit wants to pull off the upset, he will have to keep it close in blitz and then make up the gap in bullet, according to the SmarterChess predictions.
The SmarterChess statistical model bases its predictions on prior performance by the players in selected Chess.com events.
Next up for the Speed Chess Championship is Hikaru Nakamura vs Maxime Vachier-Lagrave: Thursday, October 11 at 10 a.m. Pacific Time.
You can find all the information on the 2018 Speed Chess Championship here, including rules, format, players, and complete schedule.
Let us know your match predictions in the comments or on Facebook.